Хоть что-то хорошее о 2016 годе: Россия и Украина помирятся PDF  | Печать |
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30.12.2015 г.

В 2016 году Россия и Украина в той или иной форме помирятся, пишет Huffington Post ссылаясь на прогнозы основателя разведывательно-аналитической компании Stratfor и центра Geopolitical Futures Джорджа Фридмана.

Согласно прогнозу Фридмана, в 2016 году Россия и Украина придут к некоему соглашению - "формальному или неформальному" - по украинскому кризису. "Структуру" потенциальной договоренности политолог затрудняется определить, но договоренность позволит погасить конфликт, считает он.
 
Американцам и их союзникам, имеющим общие границы с Россией, этот компромисс придется не по душе, однако в Европе, по мнению Фридмана, будут и те, кто обрадуется "примирению" Москвы и Киева.

"Германия будет в восторге из-за устранения дополнительного очага конфронтации к востоку от своей территории. Остальные европейские страны, занятые другими проблемами, отнесутся к этому безразлично", - считает американский политолог.

Среди масштабных европейских проблем основатель Stratfor выделяет напряженность с беженцами в Европе и общую угрозу распада европейского сообщества.

"Государства-члены (ЕС) станут более автономными, и сила института единой Европы уменьшится", - полагает Фридман.

В своем прогнозе эксперт также отметил, что эпицентром финансового кризиса станет Италия, а не Греция, поскольку итальянским властям придется иметь дело с высоким уровнем безработицы и ростом долговых обязательств.

Ранее аналитики Stratfor спрогнозировали обострение отношения между Россией и Турцией в 2016 году.
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